kennedyseat.com was created on September 1, 2009 to report on and analyze the race for the Senate, while offering some perspective and a sense of humor.
The author of kennedyseat.com is Conor Yunits, a writer, political junkie, sports fan, and history buff. He remained anonymous during the campaign because of a day job working for a non-political entity. His opinions were his own, and did not represent his organization.
Marth Coakley wins: breakdown: Coakley 52%, Brown 49, Kennedy 1.
Caokely's campaign could have been better. Where was she for 3 weeks? There is no there there in Brown. He is an empty suit. He is a vehicle for frustration and a vessel to protest such things as a failed healthcare initiative, bad economy ("it is the economy stupid"), and fear about the terrorism. In the end, voters will go back to their roots but it will close. Brown peeked a little to early.
On Tuesday, January 19, 2010, Massachusetts voters went to the polls and elected their first new Senator in more than 25 years - State Senator Scott Brown.
10 comments:
Intrade gives Coakley only a 26% chance of prevailing.
Marth Coakley wins: breakdown:
Coakley 52%, Brown 49, Kennedy 1.
Caokely's campaign could have been better. Where was she for 3 weeks? There is no there there in Brown. He is an empty suit. He is a vehicle for frustration and a vessel to protest such things as a failed healthcare initiative, bad economy ("it is the economy stupid"), and fear about the terrorism. In the end, voters will go back to their roots but it will close. Brown peeked a little to early.
Brown 50%
Coakley 47%
Kennedy 3%
Brown 42%
Coakley 44%
Kennedy 8%
Menino 1%
Patrick 3%
Robinson 1%
My prediction:
Brown 49%
Coakley 46%
Kennedy 5%
Kennedy takes 4% from Coakley, and causes Coakley to lose.
http://www.rightmarch.com/pr/JoeKennedy-011810.htm
Unfortunately, Coakley may pull it out
Brown - 48%
Coakley - 42%
Kennedy - 5% (taken from Coakley like Bill thinks)
Write-in/blank - 5% (many Capuano write-ins)
Turnout: 1.8m
Further prediction (if Brown wins): a "draft Capuano" movement in 2012
3pm voting prediction: Coakley pulls it off thanks to the Dem's base in Mass. Wins by 1-2 percentage points. Fear is a great motivator.
I stand by my prediction from last night. Basically the opposite of Bill's above.
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